Liga MX › CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas
1X2 Goals Corners Cards Statistics
CF Pachuca 22.1%
Draw 28.9%
Guadalajara Chivas 49%
Model reading No recommendation edge_insuficiente
Expected goals
CF Pachuca 0.88
Guadalajara Chivas 1.43
Total 2.31
Data quality High ProbaxIA may withhold a recommendation when the sample, lineups or edge are insufficient.
Goals and scorelines
CF Pachuca 0.88 Expected total 2.31 Guadalajara Chivas 1.43
BTTS Yes 45.5% BTTS No 54.5% 1X 51% X2 77.9% 12 71.1% Most likely scorelines 1-1 13.5% 0-1 13.2% 0-0 10.9% 0-2 10.2% 1-2 8.9% 1-0 7.7% 2-1 5.5% 0-3 4.9%
Match total Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 89.1% 10.9% 1.122 9.166 1.5 68.2% 31.8% 1.467 3.142 2.5 40.7% 59.3% 2.457 1.686 3.5 20.3% 79.7% 4.927 1.255 4.5 8.5% 91.5% 11.752 1.093
CF Pachuca · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 58.5% 41.5% 1.711 2.407 1.5 22% 78% 4.554 1.281 2.5 5.9% 94.1% 16.852 1.063 3.5 1.2% 98.8% 80.541 1.013 4.5 21% 99.8% 473.415 1.002
Guadalajara Chivas · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 76.1% 23.9% 1.313 4.191 1.5 42% 58% 2.384 1.723 2.5 17.4% 82.5% 5.729 1.211 3.5 5.8% 94.2% 17.384 1.061 4.5 1.6% 98.4% 64.108 1.016
Corners
CF Pachuca 3.39 Expected total 8.23 Guadalajara Chivas 4.83
Match total Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 5.5 73.1% 26.9% 1.368 3.72 6.5 62.8% 37.2% 1.592 2.689 7.5 52.3% 47.7% 1.911 2.097 8.5 42.4% 57.6% 2.361 1.735 9.5 33.4% 66.6% 2.995 1.501 10.5 25.7% 74.3% 3.893 1.346 11.5 19.3% 80.7% 5.173 1.24 12.5 14.3% 85.7% 7.012 1.166 13.5 10.3% 89.7% 9.68 1.115
CF Pachuca · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 92.9% 7.1% 1.076 14.161 1.5 78% 22% 1.281 4.555 2.5 59.5% 40.5% 1.68 2.47 3.5 41.8% 58.2% 2.391 1.719 4.5 27.5% 72.5% 3.641 1.379 5.5 17.1% 82.9% 5.863 1.206 6.5 10.1% 89.9% 9.887 1.113 7.5 5.8% 94.2% 17.331 1.061 8.5 3.2% 96.8% 31.394 1.033
Guadalajara Chivas · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 95.7% 4.3% 1.045 23.303 1.5 86.4% 13.6% 1.157 7.366 2.5 73.8% 26.2% 1.355 3.819 3.5 60.1% 39.9% 1.664 2.505 4.5 47% 53% 2.129 1.885 5.5 35.5% 64.5% 2.818 1.55 6.5 26.1% 73.9% 3.837 1.352 7.5 18.7% 81.3% 5.351 1.23 8.5 13.1% 86.9% 7.618 1.151
Cards
CF Pachuca 2.44 Expected total 4.27 Guadalajara Chivas 1.83
Match total Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 97.7% 2.3% 1.024 43.51 1.5 90% 10% 1.112 9.956 2.5 76.2% 23.9% 1.313 4.192 3.5 58.8% 41.2% 1.701 2.427 4.5 41.5% 58.5% 2.407 1.711 5.5 27.1% 72.9% 3.692 1.371 6.5 16.4% 83.6% 6.085 1.197 7.5 9.4% 90.6% 10.677 1.103 8.5 5% 95% 19.787 1.053
CF Pachuca · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 86.8% 13.2% 1.152 7.571 1.5 64.4% 35.6% 1.553 2.808 2.5 42% 58% 2.382 1.723 3.5 24.7% 75.3% 4.044 1.329 4.5 13.5% 86.5% 7.43 1.156 5.5 6.9% 93.1% 14.538 1.074
Guadalajara Chivas · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 82.6% 17.4% 1.211 5.747 1.5 53.5% 46.5% 1.87 2.149 2.5 27.9% 72.2% 3.59 1.386 3.5 12.1% 87.9% 8.246 1.138 4.5 4.6% 95.4% 21.94 1.048 5.5 1.5% 98.5% 65.958 1.015
Expanded statistics and explanation The AI assigns the highest 1X2 probability to Guadalajara Chivas at 49.0%. The 20.1-point margin over the next outcome indicates a clear but uncertain lean.
The expected-goals total is 2.31, which places the match in a moderate-scoring range before lineup updates.
The expanded-statistics section shows 10 recent patterns calculated only from matches with valid data.
Data quality is high. No recommendation: edge_insuficiente
Home-team trends Under 3.5 goals 8/10 last 10 matches CF Pachuca scored 8/10 last 10 matches Under 10.5 corners 7/9 last 9 matches Over 1.5 goals 6/10 last 10 matches Both teams scored 5/10 last 10 matches Away-team trends Under 3.5 goals 8/10 last 10 matches Guadalajara Chivas scored 8/10 last 10 matches Over 1.5 goals 7/10 last 10 matches Both teams scored 6/10 last 10 matches Under 10.5 corners 5/10 last 10 matches Frequencies use up to 10 recent matches and only display markets with at least five valid observations.
Probabilities are informational estimates and do not guarantee the result.