Liga MX › Necaxa vs Cruz Azul
1X2 Goals Corners Cards Statistics
Necaxa 34%
Draw 26.9%
Cruz Azul 39.1%
Model reading No recommendation probabilidades_parejas; edge_insuficiente
Expected goals
Necaxa 1.36
Cruz Azul 1.48
Total 2.84
Data quality High ProbaxIA may withhold a recommendation when the sample, lineups or edge are insufficient.
Goals and scorelines
Necaxa 1.36 Expected total 2.84 Cruz Azul 1.48
BTTS Yes 58.3% BTTS No 41.7% 1X 60.9% X2 66% 12 73.1% Most likely scorelines 1-1 12.7% 1-2 8.7% 2-1 8% 0-1 7.7% 1-0 7% 0-0 6.8% 0-2 6.4% 2-2 5.9%
Match total Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 93.2% 6.8% 1.073 14.702 1.5 78.5% 21.5% 1.275 4.642 2.5 53.9% 46.1% 1.854 2.171 3.5 31.6% 68.4% 3.161 1.463 4.5 15.8% 84.2% 6.324 1.188
Necaxa · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 74.4% 25.6% 1.344 3.903 1.5 39.5% 60.5% 2.532 1.653 2.5 15.7% 84.3% 6.355 1.187 3.5 5% 95% 20.196 1.052 4.5 1.3% 98.7% 78.126 1.013
Cruz Azul · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 77.1% 22.9% 1.297 4.372 1.5 43.4% 56.6% 2.305 1.766 2.5 18.5% 81.5% 5.407 1.227 3.5 6.3% 93.7% 15.983 1.067 4.5 1.7% 98.3% 57.367 1.018
Corners
Necaxa 5.2 Expected total 10.36 Cruz Azul 5.16
Match total Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 5.5 89.6% 10.4% 1.116 9.649 6.5 82.9% 17.1% 1.206 5.845 7.5 74.5% 25.5% 1.342 3.92 8.5 64.9% 35.1% 1.54 2.852 9.5 54.9% 45.1% 1.822 2.216 10.5 45% 55% 2.223 1.818 11.5 35.8% 64.2% 2.795 1.557 12.5 27.7% 72.3% 3.615 1.382 13.5 20.8% 79.2% 4.805 1.263
Necaxa · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 98.1% 1.9% 1.02 51.448 1.5 92.1% 7.9% 1.086 12.675 2.5 81.8% 18.2% 1.223 5.493 3.5 68.4% 31.6% 1.461 3.169 4.5 54.1% 45.9% 1.848 2.18 5.5 40.6% 59.4% 2.461 1.685 6.5 29.1% 70.8% 3.431 1.411 7.5 20.1% 79.9% 4.981 1.251 8.5 13.3% 86.7% 7.495 1.154
Cruz Azul · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 98.5% 1.5% 1.016 65.363 1.5 93.2% 6.8% 1.073 14.746 2.5 83.3% 16.7% 1.2 5.998 3.5 69.8% 30.2% 1.433 3.311 4.5 54.8% 45.2% 1.825 2.212 5.5 40.5% 59.5% 2.471 1.68 6.5 28.3% 71.7% 3.536 1.394 7.5 18.8% 81.2% 5.319 1.232 8.5 12% 88% 8.363 1.136
Cards
Necaxa 2.16 Expected total 4.4 Cruz Azul 2.23
Match total Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 98.5% 1.5% 1.016 64.795 1.5 92.3% 7.7% 1.083 13.061 2.5 79.9% 20.1% 1.251 4.983 3.5 62.7% 37.3% 1.594 2.683 4.5 44.4% 55.6% 2.252 1.799 5.5 28.4% 71.5% 3.515 1.398 6.5 16.6% 83.4% 6.026 1.199 7.5 8.9% 91.1% 11.26 1.097 8.5 4.4% 95.6% 22.764 1.046
Necaxa · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 87.2% 12.8% 1.147 7.795 1.5 62.1% 37.9% 1.609 2.641 2.5 36.5% 63.5% 2.741 1.574 3.5 18.1% 81.9% 5.517 1.221 4.5 7.8% 92.2% 12.774 1.085 5.5 3% 97% 33.284 1.031
Cruz Azul · individual Line Over Under Fair odds O Fair odds U 0.5 88% 12% 1.137 8.313 1.5 63.8% 36.2% 1.567 2.762 2.5 38.3% 61.7% 2.611 1.621 3.5 19.5% 80.5% 5.128 1.242 4.5 8.6% 91.4% 11.568 1.095 5.5 3.4% 96.6% 29.337 1.035
Expanded statistics and explanation The AI assigns the highest 1X2 probability to Cruz Azul at 39.1%. The 5.1-point margin over the next outcome indicates a balanced match without a dominant outcome.
The expected-goals total is 2.84, which places the match in a moderate-scoring range before lineup updates.
The expanded-statistics section shows 10 recent patterns calculated only from matches with valid data.
Data quality is high. No recommendation: probabilidades_parejas; edge_insuficiente
Home-team trends Over 1.5 goals 9/10 last 10 matches Under 10.5 corners 8/10 last 10 matches Both teams scored 8/10 last 10 matches Necaxa scored 8/10 last 10 matches Under 3.5 goals 7/10 last 10 matches Away-team trends Over 1.5 goals 8/10 last 10 matches Under 3.5 goals 8/10 last 10 matches Cruz Azul scored 8/10 last 10 matches Both teams scored 7/10 last 10 matches Under 10.5 corners 6/10 last 10 matches Frequencies use up to 10 recent matches and only display markets with at least five valid observations.
Probabilities are informational estimates and do not guarantee the result.