Leagues Cup · August 13, 2026 · 17:30 Prediction published four days before kickoff

New York City FC vs Necaxa: AI prediction

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New York City FC43.7%

Draw28.1%

Necaxa28.2%

Model reading

No recommendation

edge_insuficiente

Expected goals

New York City FC: 1.45
Necaxa: 1.12
Total: 2.57

Data quality

High

ProbaxIA may withhold a recommendation when the sample, lineups or edge are insufficient.

Goals and scorelines

New York City FC1.45

Expected total2.57

Necaxa1.12

BTTS Yes52.7%

BTTS No47.3%

1X71.8%

X256.3%

1271.9%

Most likely scorelines

1-113.4%

1-010.1%

2-19%

0-08.6%

2-08%

0-17.6%

1-27%

2-25.1%

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	91.4%	8.6%	1.094	11.614
1.5	73.8%	26.2%	1.356	3.812
2.5	47.5%	52.5%	2.104	1.906
3.5	25.9%	74.2%	3.868	1.349
4.5	11.9%	88.1%	8.401	1.135

New York City FC · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	76.6%	23.4%	1.306	4.272
1.5	42.6%	57.4%	2.347	1.742
2.5	17.9%	82.1%	5.579	1.218
3.5	6%	94%	16.727	1.064
4.5	1.6%	98.4%	60.924	1.017

Necaxa · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	67.5%	32.5%	1.482	3.073
1.5	30.9%	69.1%	3.234	1.448
2.5	10.4%	89.6%	9.598	1.116
3.5	2.7%	97.3%	36.435	1.028
4.5	59%	99.4%	169.237	1.006

Corners

New York City FC3.57

Expected total7.33

Necaxa3.76

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
5.5	68.7%	31.3%	1.455	3.198
6.5	56.2%	43.8%	1.778	2.285
7.5	43.9%	56.1%	2.277	1.783
8.5	32.8%	67.2%	3.047	1.489
9.5	23.5%	76.5%	4.252	1.308
10.5	16.2%	83.8%	6.166	1.194
11.5	10.8%	89.2%	9.267	1.121
12.5	7%	93%	14.392	1.075
13.5	4.3%	95.7%	23.036	1.045

New York City FC · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	95.4%	4.6%	1.048	21.621
1.5	83%	16.9%	1.204	5.898
2.5	65%	35%	1.537	2.861
3.5	46%	54%	2.173	1.853
4.5	29.7%	70.3%	3.363	1.423
5.5	17.8%	82.2%	5.634	1.216
6.5	9.9%	90.1%	10.104	1.11
7.5	5.2%	94.8%	19.223	1.055
8.5	2.6%	97.4%	38.492	1.027

Necaxa · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	94.8%	5.2%	1.055	19.128
1.5	82.4%	17.6%	1.213	5.693
2.5	65.6%	34.4%	1.525	2.906
3.5	48.1%	51.9%	2.077	1.929
4.5	33%	67%	3.03	1.493
5.5	21.3%	78.7%	4.686	1.271
6.5	13.1%	86.9%	7.61	1.151
7.5	7.8%	92.2%	12.884	1.084
8.5	4.4%	95.6%	22.602	1.046

Cards

New York City FC1.22

Expected total4.72

Necaxa3.5

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	98.8%	1.2%	1.012	81.121
1.5	93.7%	6.3%	1.067	15.888
2.5	83%	17%	1.205	5.879
3.5	67.4%	32.6%	1.484	3.068
4.5	49.9%	50.1%	2.004	1.996
5.5	33.7%	66.3%	2.964	1.509
6.5	20.9%	79.1%	4.78	1.265
7.5	12%	88%	8.343	1.136
8.5	6.4%	93.6%	15.658	1.068

New York City FC · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	69.1%	30.9%	1.448	3.233
1.5	34.1%	65.9%	2.93	1.518
2.5	13.1%	86.9%	7.63	1.151
3.5	4.2%	95.8%	24.051	1.043
4.5	1.1%	98.9%	88.015	1.011
5.5	28%	99.7%	363.114	1.003

Necaxa · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	96%	4%	1.042	25.091
1.5	84.2%	15.8%	1.188	6.31
2.5	65.6%	34.4%	1.524	2.908
3.5	45.4%	54.6%	2.203	1.831
4.5	28.1%	71.9%	3.561	1.39
5.5	15.7%	84.3%	6.362	1.187

Expanded statistics and explanation

The AI assigns the highest 1X2 probability to New York City FC at 43.7%. The 15.4-point margin over the next outcome indicates a clear but uncertain lean.

The expected-goals total is 2.57, which places the match in a moderate-scoring range before lineup updates.

The expanded-statistics section shows 10 recent patterns calculated only from matches with valid data.

Data quality is high. No recommendation: edge_insuficiente

Home-team trends

Over 1.5 goals9/10last 10 matches

Under 3.5 goals9/10last 10 matches

New York City FC scored9/10last 10 matches

Under 10.5 corners8/10last 10 matches

Both teams scored6/10last 10 matches

Away-team trends

Over 1.5 goals9/10last 10 matches

Both teams scored8/10last 10 matches

Necaxa scored8/10last 10 matches

Under 10.5 corners7/10last 10 matches

Under 3.5 goals6/10last 10 matches

Frequencies use up to 10 recent matches and only display markets with at least five valid observations.

Probabilities are informational estimates and do not guarantee the result.

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New York City FC vs Necaxa: AI prediction

Model reading

Expected goals

Data quality

Goals and scorelines

Most likely scorelines

Corners

Cards

Home-team trends

Away-team trends

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