Leagues Cup · August 6, 2026 · 17:30 24-hour update

New York City FC vs Santos Laguna: AI prediction

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New York City FC53.5%

Draw24.7%

Santos Laguna21.8%

Model reading

Model selection

Expected goals

New York City FC: 1.82
Santos Laguna: 1.09
Total: 2.91

Data quality

High

ProbaxIA may withhold a recommendation when the sample, lineups or edge are insufficient.

Model selections and signals

Model selection

73.8%Fair odds 1.352

Model selection

61.3%Fair odds 1.643

Model selection

66.2%Fair odds 1.52

Model selection

35.2%Fair odds 2.823

Goals and scorelines

New York City FC1.82

Expected total2.91

Santos Laguna1.09

BTTS Yes56.5%

BTTS No43.5%

1X78.2%

X246.5%

1275.3%

Most likely scorelines

1-111.7%

2-19.8%

1-09%

2-09%

0-06.3%

3-16%

1-25.9%

3-05.5%

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	93.7%	6.3%	1.067	15.842
1.5	79.6%	20.4%	1.257	4.894
2.5	55.6%	44.4%	1.797	2.254
3.5	33.3%	66.7%	3.006	1.498
4.5	17%	83%	5.887	1.205

New York City FC · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	83.8%	16.2%	1.194	6.157
1.5	54.2%	45.8%	1.844	2.185
2.5	27.4%	72.6%	3.648	1.378
3.5	11.2%	88.8%	8.965	1.126
4.5	3.8%	96.2%	26.532	1.039

Santos Laguna · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	66.5%	33.5%	1.505	2.982
1.5	29.8%	70.2%	3.353	1.425
2.5	9.8%	90.2%	10.194	1.109
3.5	2.5%	97.5%	39.688	1.026
4.5	53%	99.5%	189.182	1.005

Corners

New York City FC3.65

Expected total8.52

Santos Laguna4.87

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
5.5	76.8%	23.2%	1.302	4.314
6.5	66.7%	33.4%	1.5	2.999
7.5	55.9%	44.1%	1.788	2.269
8.5	45.5%	54.5%	2.199	1.834
9.5	35.9%	64.1%	2.786	1.56
10.5	27.6%	72.4%	3.627	1.381
11.5	20.7%	79.3%	4.841	1.26
12.5	15.1%	84.9%	6.609	1.178
13.5	10.9%	89.1%	9.208	1.122

New York City FC · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	95.6%	4.4%	1.046	22.593
1.5	83.7%	16.3%	1.195	6.132
2.5	66.2%	33.8%	1.511	2.957
3.5	47.4%	52.6%	2.109	1.902
4.5	31.1%	68.9%	3.215	1.451
5.5	18.9%	81.1%	5.293	1.233
6.5	10.7%	89.3%	9.312	1.12
7.5	5.8%	94.2%	17.348	1.061
8.5	2.9%	97.1%	33.972	1.03

Santos Laguna · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	96.1%	3.9%	1.041	25.436
1.5	87.2%	12.8%	1.147	7.806
2.5	74.8%	25.2%	1.337	3.965
3.5	61%	39%	1.639	2.565
4.5	47.7%	52.3%	2.097	1.912
5.5	36%	64%	2.781	1.561
6.5	26.3%	73.7%	3.802	1.357
7.5	18.8%	81.2%	5.334	1.231
8.5	13.1%	86.9%	7.65	1.15

Cards

New York City FC1.36

Expected total3.84

Santos Laguna2.48

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	97.4%	2.6%	1.026	38.787
1.5	88.4%	11.6%	1.131	8.65
2.5	72.4%	27.6%	1.382	3.62
3.5	52.7%	47.3%	1.897	2.115
4.5	34.2%	65.8%	2.923	1.52
5.5	19.9%	80.1%	5.017	1.249
6.5	10.5%	89.5%	9.501	1.118
7.5	5.1%	94.9%	19.667	1.054
8.5	2.3%	97.7%	44.11	1.023

New York City FC · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	73.3%	26.7%	1.365	3.739
1.5	39.1%	60.9%	2.556	1.643
2.5	16.2%	83.8%	6.153	1.194
3.5	5.5%	94.5%	18.028	1.059
4.5	1.6%	98.4%	61.758	1.016
5.5	42%	99.6%	240.348	1.004

Santos Laguna · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	90.4%	9.6%	1.107	10.373
1.5	69.1%	30.9%	1.448	3.234
2.5	44.4%	55.6%	2.252	1.799
3.5	24.4%	75.5%	4.091	1.324
4.5	11.8%	88.2%	8.493	1.133
5.5	5.1%	94.9%	19.76	1.053

Expanded statistics and explanation

The AI assigns the highest 1X2 probability to New York City FC at 53.5%. The 28.8-point margin over the next outcome indicates a clear but uncertain lean.

The expected-goals total is 2.91, which places the match in a open range before lineup updates.

The expanded-statistics section shows 10 recent patterns calculated only from matches with valid data.

Data quality is high. Model selection:

Home-team trends

Under 10.5 corners8/10last 10 matches

Over 1.5 goals8/10last 10 matches

Under 3.5 goals8/10last 10 matches

New York City FC scored8/10last 10 matches

Both teams scored6/10last 10 matches

Away-team trends

Over 1.5 goals8/10last 10 matches

Under 3.5 goals8/10last 10 matches

Under 10.5 corners7/10last 10 matches

Both teams scored4/10last 10 matches

Santos Laguna scored5/10last 10 matches

Frequencies use up to 10 recent matches and only display markets with at least five valid observations.

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Important notice

A high probability does not guarantee the outcome. ProbaxIA is an informational tool, not a promise of profit.

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New York City FC vs Santos Laguna: AI prediction

Model reading

Expected goals

Data quality

Model selections and signals

Model selection

Model selection

Model selection

Model selection

Goals and scorelines

Most likely scorelines

Corners

Cards

Home-team trends

Away-team trends

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Important notice

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