MLS · August 22, 2026 · 18:30 72-hour update

Austin vs Philadelphia Union: AI prediction

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Austin22.9%

Draw22.6%

Philadelphia Union54.5%

Model reading

No recommendation

edge_insuficiente

Expected goals

Austin: 1.3
Philadelphia Union: 2.07
Total: 3.37

Data quality

High

ProbaxIA may withhold a recommendation when the sample, lineups or edge are insufficient.

Goals and scorelines

Austin1.3

Expected total3.37

Philadelphia Union2.07

BTTS Yes64.2%

BTTS No35.8%

1X45.5%

X277.1%

1277.4%

Most likely scorelines

1-110%

1-29.6%

0-27.4%

1-36.6%

0-16.4%

2-26.2%

2-16%

0-35.1%

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	95.8%	4.2%	1.044	23.877
1.5	85.7%	14.3%	1.167	6.985
2.5	65.4%	34.6%	1.529	2.89
3.5	43.5%	56.5%	2.301	1.768
4.5	25%	75%	4.003	1.333

Austin · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	72.7%	27.3%	1.376	3.657
1.5	37.2%	62.8%	2.688	1.592
2.5	14.2%	85.8%	7.036	1.166
3.5	4.3%	95.7%	23.382	1.045
4.5	1.1%	98.9%	94.728	1.011

Philadelphia Union · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	87.4%	12.6%	1.144	7.931
1.5	61.3%	38.7%	1.632	2.583
2.5	34.2%	65.8%	2.92	1.521
3.5	15.6%	84.4%	6.415	1.185
4.5	5.9%	94.1%	16.873	1.063

Corners

Austin4.69

Expected total9.84

Philadelphia Union5.16

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
5.5	88.6%	11.4%	1.128	8.803
6.5	81.1%	18.9%	1.233	5.289
7.5	71.7%	28.3%	1.394	3.537
8.5	61.2%	38.8%	1.634	2.577
9.5	50.3%	49.7%	1.986	2.014
10.5	39.9%	60.1%	2.504	1.665
11.5	30.6%	69.4%	3.272	1.44
12.5	22.6%	77.4%	4.422	1.292
13.5	16.2%	83.8%	6.174	1.193

Austin · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	98.1%	1.9%	1.019	53.67
1.5	91.8%	8.2%	1.09	12.162
2.5	80.1%	19.9%	1.249	5.015
3.5	64.6%	35.4%	1.548	2.825
4.5	48.3%	51.7%	2.072	1.933
5.5	33.6%	66.4%	2.979	1.505
6.5	21.9%	78.1%	4.571	1.28
7.5	13.4%	86.5%	7.434	1.155
8.5	7.8%	92.2%	12.733	1.085

Philadelphia Union · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	98.5%	1.5%	1.015	67.124
1.5	93.3%	6.7%	1.071	14.998
2.5	83.5%	16.5%	1.198	6.057
3.5	70%	30.1%	1.43	3.328
4.5	54.9%	45.1%	1.822	2.216
5.5	40.5%	59.5%	2.472	1.679
6.5	28.2%	71.8%	3.548	1.392
7.5	18.7%	81.3%	5.358	1.229
8.5	11.8%	88.2%	8.468	1.134

Cards

Austin2.68

Expected total5.6

Philadelphia Union2.92

Match total

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	99.5%	53%	1.005	189.082
1.5	96.9%	3.1%	1.032	31.979
2.5	90.3%	9.7%	1.107	10.342
3.5	79.1%	20.9%	1.265	4.781
4.5	64.2%	35.8%	1.557	2.795
5.5	48.2%	51.8%	2.076	1.929
6.5	33.4%	66.6%	2.996	1.501
7.5	21.4%	78.6%	4.665	1.273
8.5	12.8%	87.2%	7.801	1.147

Austin · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	91.9%	8.1%	1.088	12.403
1.5	72.9%	27.1%	1.372	3.685
2.5	49.2%	50.8%	2.034	1.967
3.5	28.6%	71.4%	3.495	1.401
4.5	14.6%	85.4%	6.833	1.171
5.5	6.7%	93.3%	14.931	1.072

Philadelphia Union · individual

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds O	Fair odds U
0.5	93.4%	6.6%	1.07	15.245
1.5	76.7%	23.3%	1.303	4.298
2.5	54.4%	45.6%	1.838	2.193
3.5	33.5%	66.5%	2.982	1.505
4.5	18.3%	81.7%	5.476	1.223
5.5	8.9%	91.1%	11.204	1.098

Expanded statistics and explanation

The AI assigns the highest 1X2 probability to Philadelphia Union at 54.5%. The 31.6-point margin over the next outcome indicates a clear but uncertain lean.

The expected-goals total is 3.37, which places the match in a open range before lineup updates.

The expanded-statistics section shows 10 recent patterns calculated only from matches with valid data.

Data quality is high. No recommendation: edge_insuficiente

Home-team trends

Over 1.5 goals9/10last 10 matches

Under 3.5 goals8/10last 10 matches

Under 10.5 corners6/10last 10 matches

Both teams scored4/10last 10 matches

Austin scored6/10last 10 matches

Away-team trends

Over 1.5 goals8/10last 10 matches

Philadelphia Union scored8/10last 10 matches

Both teams scored7/10last 10 matches

Under 3.5 goals4/10last 10 matches

Under 10.5 corners5/10last 10 matches

Frequencies use up to 10 recent matches and only display markets with at least five valid observations.

Probabilities are informational estimates and do not guarantee the result.

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Austin vs Philadelphia Union: AI prediction

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Expected goals

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